Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Mike Johnson still Speaker of the House at the end of 2026??

Futuur quota Yes al 81% al 30 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Mike Johnson still Speaker of the House at the end of 2026??

Mike Johnson still Speaker of the House at the end of 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.

FutuurVerifica disponibilitàDati di risoluzione verificati

Probabilità implicita attuale

Sì 81%

Qualità del mercato

35 / 100

Bassa qualità

Volume 24h

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Liquidità

1,6K €

Bassa liquidità

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Commenti

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 minuto fa

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Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

This event predicts whether Mike Johnson will remain Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives through December 31, 2026.

The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official records of the U.S. House of Representatives confirming the Speakership.
If Mike Johnson officially remains Speaker of the House through the end of December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If he is formally removed, resigns, or is replaced through a process recognized under U.S. House rules before that date, the market will resolve to "No" at the moment of the official action.
If official records are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major U.S. news organizations.