PredictItVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution non vérifiéesRetail prediction exchange
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Democratic 90%
Democratic 90%Méthodologie
Retail prediction exchange
Type de question
-
Volume 24h
2 k €
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
15 juil. 25, 13:47 UTC21 janv. 28, 05:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiWhich Party will win the House popular vote in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Washington's 10th District?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Georgia's 8th District?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Nebraska's 3rd District?
Manifold MarketsTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRègles
The contract that resolves to Yes shall identify the political party whose candidates are elected in a majority of districts in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 general election.
- A candidate shall be considered to be associated with a political party if such candidate is elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party.
For purposes of resolving this market, delegates and resident Commissioners who are members of the House shall not be considered.
In the event that no party wins a majority of seats, all contracts shall resolve to No.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. - Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
4 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence pondérée par la liquidité de CoinRithm pour Democratic Party est de 90%. L'écart entre plateformes est d'environ 1 point de pourcentage.
Référence CoinRithm Democratic Party 90% · 4 plateformes · 1 pt d’ecart entre venues
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Which party will win the House in 2026? · Democratic Party 90%
- Également disponible sur Gemini — Which party will win the U.S. House? · Democratic Party 89%
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — Which party will win the house in 2026 midterms · Democratic Party 89%
- Également disponible sur Limitless — Which party will win the House in 2026? · Democratic Party 91%
- — Which party will win the U.S. House?
