Which party will lead in RCP Congressional generic ballot polling for Sept. 8?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection
PredictItFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution non vérifiéesRetail prediction exchange
Données de résolution non vérifiées: Democrats 5.5%-5.9% (99%)
Ce résultat est inféré ou n'est pas appuyé par des preuves de règlement de niveau fournisseur.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 8 sept. 2026, 15:00 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Chronologie des Probabilités
Dem<4.5%, Tie or GOP0%
Democrats 4.5%-4.9%0%
Democrats 5.0%-5.4%0%
Democrats 5.5%-5.9%99%
Democrats 6.0%-6.4%13%
Democrats 6.5%-6.9%5%
Democrats 7.0%-7.4%3%
Democrats 7.5%-7.9%2%
Democrats ≥ 8.0%0%
Democrats 5.5%-5.9%Résultat en attente
Dem<4.5%, Tie or GOPRésultat en attente
Democrats 4.5%-4.9%Résultat en attente
Democrats 5.0%-5.4%Résultat en attente
Democrats 6.0%-6.4%Résultat en attente
Democrats 6.5%-6.9%Résultat en attente
Democrats 7.0%-7.4%Résultat en attente
Democrats 7.5%-7.9%Résultat en attente
Democrats ≥ 8.0%Résultat en attente
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
The contract that resolves to Yes shall identify the RealClearPolling average "2026 Generic Congressional Vote" leader and spread at the End Date listed below.
- The approval rating shall be drawn from the table of individual polls, available upon launch of this market at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/state-of-the-union/generic-congressional-vote ("the Settlement Source"), as shown on devices set to Eastern Time.
Any number displayed at the Settlement Source at the End Date other than the difference between the two parties' support (currently labelled "Spread") will be irrelevant for purposes of this market.
Should the Settlement Source be unavailable at the End Date, PredictIt will, at its sole discretion, await an update, select the most recent data point in the identified series or an alternate source, or construct its own polling average.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 09/08/2026 11:00 AM (ET)