PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 76.2%-0.5pt
Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
95,6 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
12.0% / 35.0%
Écart
23.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-1.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
17 avr. 26, 21:31 UTC31 déc. 26, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
PolymarketZohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
PolymarketWill Zohran Mamdani make an endorsement in any non New York race before Election Day?
Manifold MarketsWill Zohran Mamdani announce his departure as Mayor of New York City?
KalshiZohran Mamdani SNL Host before end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Zohran Mamdani officially endorse or campaign for Abdul El Sayed for senate?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date.
- Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count.
- Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count.
- Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify.
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 12, 2026?
- 81° to 82°+73.0pt95.2%
- 85° or above-20.0pt1%
- 83° to 84°-47.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 419,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 380,7 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 12, 2026?
- Seattle+21.0pt99%
- Atlanta+13.0pt99%
- Boston-1.0pt4%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 406,2 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 13, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,750 or above98%
- $75,500 or above98%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 228,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 224,5 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,500 or above97%
- $65,500 or above97%
- $68,000 or above97%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 289,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 222,4 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- 160-179+2.0pt20.2%
- 180-199+1.0pt20.2%
- 140-159+6.0pt18.2%
+23 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 12 - September 14, 2026?
- <40+29.5pt53.4%
- 40-64-12.0pt40.8%
- 65-89-13.5pt4.8%
+7 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Zohran Mamdani release another song? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 76% au 13 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Zohran Mamdani release another song? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Zohran Mamdani release another song? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Zohran Mamdani release another song? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time).