Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?
2.0 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection2a
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 83.2%+2.0pt
Qualité du marché
57 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
25,9 €
Liquidité
27,2 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
14.0% / 19.0%
Écart
5.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
1
Variation 7j
-4.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
30 juil. 26, 15:16 UTC7 nov. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsWho will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the first individual that Donald Trump endorses for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential Election wins the 2028 United States Presidential Election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The following rules govern the determination of the first individual that Donald Trump endorses for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential Election:
- An endorsement is defined as a statement by Donald Trump that i) is made publicly (e.g., through a press release, an on-the-record interview, a speech, a campaign event, a post from a verified account on social media); ii) explicitly and unambiguously expresses unique support for an individual as a candidate for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential Election; and iii) is characterized by a consensus of credible reporting as an official endorsement by Donald Trump of the individual for President in the 2028 United States Presidential Election.
- An endorsement of an individual for the Republican Party’s nomination in the 2028 United States Presidential Election will qualify as an endorsement for the 2028 United States Presidential Election.
- Endorsements of a candidate for the Democratic Party's nomination without also endorsing that candidate for President in the general election will not qualify.
