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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

1.5% (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection1mo
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui
Oui 4%+0.0%
Qualite du marche

73 / 100

Qualité moyenne
Volume 24h

9,5 k €

Liquidité

25,5 k €

Liquidité élevée
Achat / Vente

3.4% / 4.5%

Spread

32.4%

Spread large
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 1 minute

9 juin 26, 1:0831 juil. 26, 19:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes4%

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
  • The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
  • The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.