Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
0.3% (24h)One-OffPolitiqueÉlectionLatin America1mo
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleOui 96%
Qualite du marche
91 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
3,1 k €
Liquidité
34,1 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
95.0% / 96.9%
Spread
2.0%
Spread serréVariation 7j
+0.7%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 minutes
17 avr. 26, 22:2615 août 26, 6:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes96%
Tendance du volume
$3.5k2 juil.7j de données8 juil.
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The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
- Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
- This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC).