Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 86%+1.5pt
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
13,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
13.0% / 16.0%
Écart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-10.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
31 août 26, 19:43 UTC5 oct. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti Québécois (PQ) wins at least 64 of the 127 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part.
- Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party.
- Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 86% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority? doit être résolu le 5 octobre 2026.
- Comment Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.