Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
2.5% (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffMiddle East5j
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle40+ 100%+18.1%En tête parmi 7 options
Qualite du marche
100 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
29,3 k €
Liquidité
202,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
11.4% / 11.7%
Spread
2.6%
Spread serréVariation 7j
-1.9%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 minutes
26 juin 26, 21:0131 juil. 26, 23:59
Tendances
100%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
30+12%
Comparer les plateformes· 40+
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h
Également disponible sur Manifold Markets
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30? [Polymarket]
Fermés
Résolu
40+ (100%)
100%
0%
0%
Prévision communautaire17 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSÉgalement disponible sur Polymarket
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?
2.1%Fermés
Résolu
20-40 (100%)
+2.1%100%
0%
-0.3%0%
+2 résultats de plus
72 • Qualité moyenneSpread serréFaible liquidité
Volume total631,7 k €
Volume 24h7,4 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying figure has been finalized or once all relevant data has been finalized.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Grosses transactions
$5.4k96.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205avant-hier
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205avant-hier$1.4k98.0%POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly-7 j
POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly-7 j$2.6k51.8%POLYMARKETWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoValid-Profit-12 j
POLYMARKETWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoValid-Profit-12 j$8.6k85.0%POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205-18 j
POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205-18 j$3.5k99.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — YesDoomsday77-19 j
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — YesDoomsday77-19 j$2.7k99.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — Yes0xd677…a495-19 j
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — Yes0xd677…a495-19 j$3.9k88.5%POLYMARKETWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly-21 j
POLYMARKETWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly-21 j$1.4k95.6%POLYMARKETNoJasonPunos-25 j
POLYMARKETNoJasonPunos-25 jTendance du volume
$33.4k2 juil.25j de données26 juil.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying figure has been finalized or once all relevant data has been finalized.