PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 92%+0.5pt
Qualité du marché
69 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
758,6 €
Liquidité
8,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
7.0% / 9.0%
Écart
2.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
8
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
12 août 26, 20:42 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Lionel Messi be with Inter Miami at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Lionel Messi publicly claim Lamine Yamal is his son by end of Dec 31, 2026? (jokes count)
Manifold MarketsWill Lionel Messi play for Argentina in another major tournament?
Manifold MarketsMessi to play for Argentina again after the 2026 WC by Dec 31, 2026
LimitlessWill Messi play for the Argentina National Team again?
KalshiBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi officially announces his retirement from club-level professional soccer by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- To resolve "Yes", the announcement must clearly state that Messi is retiring or indefinitely departing from club-level professional soccer with the intention of not participating in any club competition.
- The announcement must come from Messi himself or official representatives thereof.
- Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure from club competition intended to be effective within 12 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither "I will leave club soccer in 2 years," nor "I will not play forever," would qualify).
- If Messi retires in a qualifying manner but maintains, renews, or announces his intention to participate in international soccer (e.g., for the Argentina national team), that retirement will still qualify.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
2 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence pondérée par la liquidité de CoinRithm pour Référence CoinRithm est de 8%.
Référence CoinRithm 8% · 2 plateformes · 0 pt d’ecart entre venues