LimitlessVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 92.2%
Non 92.2%Qualité du marché
30 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
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Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
17 août 26, 15:33 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?
PolymarketBallon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lionel Messi to finish higher?
PolymarketWill Lionel Messi be with Inter Miami at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Lionel Messi publicly claim Lamine Yamal is his son by end of Dec 31, 2026? (jokes count)
Manifold MarketsBallon d'Or 2026: Lamine Yamal or Lionel Messi to finish higher?
PolymarketWill Lionel Messi score 950 goals before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi officially announces his retirement from club-level professional soccer by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To resolve "Yes", the announcement must clearly state that Messi is retiring or indefinitely departing from club-level professional soccer with the intention of not participating in any club competition.
- The announcement must come from Messi himself or official representatives thereof.
Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure from club competition intended to be effective within 12 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither "I will leave club soccer in 2 years," nor "I will not play forever," would qualify).
If Messi retires in a qualifying manner but maintains, renews, or announces his intention to participate in international soccer (e.g., for the Argentina national team), that retirement will still qualify.
- International soccer participation will have no bearing on this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the named individual or authorized representatives thereof.
- A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
2 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence inter-plateformes de CoinRithm pour Référence CoinRithm est de 8%. L'écart entre plateformes est d'environ 1 point de pourcentage.
Référence CoinRithm 8% · 2 plateformes · 1 pt d’ecart entre venues
