PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 98%+0.3pt
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
13,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
1.3% / 2.6%
Écart
1.3 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+0.2 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
25 août 26, 21:42 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Ilhan Omar be a Member of Congress at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ilhan Omar win the Minnesota 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rep. Ilhan Omar is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Omar from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons.
- Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count.
- A removal order that has not been implemented will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
- The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
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- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
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- Volume 24h
- 693 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
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+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 266,9 k €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 12,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 248,7 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Ilhan Omar be deported in 2026? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 98% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Ilhan Omar be deported in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Ilhan Omar be deported in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Ilhan Omar be deported in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rep. Ilhan Omar is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.