Will Donald Trump formally concede the 2020 US Election before December 1st, 2020?
Politique
PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: No
Preuves de résolution limitées
CoinRithm peut afficher le résultat enregistré, mais tous les champs de règlement ne sont pas vérifiés par le fournisseur.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 100%
Qualite du marche
15 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
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Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 123 jours
Obsolète6 nov. 20, 0:0017 janv. 22, 0:00
Chronologie des Probabilités
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Règles
This is a market on if Donald Trump will formally concede the 2020 US Election before December 1st, 2020, 12:00am EST.
- Conceding can be defined as publicly admitting to losing the election and thus not being president come next term.
- As per Wikipedia: "In politics, a concession is the act of a losing candidate publicly yielding to a winning candidate after an election after the overall result of the vote has become clear." If Trump tweets or publicly states that he lost or concedes the US Presidential Election, and will not be President come next term, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- If he says something to the effect of Joe Biden winning "but...", but in the context of him still contesting results, saying he should have won and he is taking action to try and still win, this market will resolve to "No".
- We are aware this market may be ambiguous, however it will be resolved in good faith as accurately as possible, by the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
- Also this Facebook Forecast question, https://www.forecastapp.net/q/TWFya2V0Ollwd0JkSUlOdzRB/, will be referenced as a leading resolution source, along with the Associated Press.
