Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023?
Politique
PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Yes
Preuves de résolution limitées
CoinRithm peut afficher le résultat enregistré, mais tous les champs de règlement ne sont pas vérifiés par le fournisseur.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 100%
Qualite du marche
15 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 123 jours
Obsolète5 juil. 22, 0:0031 déc. 22, 0:00
Chronologie des Probabilités
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if before the resolution time of this market of January 1, 2023, 12 AM ET, Donald John Trump or his authorized representative does at least one of the following: - Files a Statement of Candidacy for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) - Amends an existing Statement of Candidacy for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election with the FEC - Designates a principal campaign committee for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election - Otherwise files or communicates with the FEC with the same effect as the filing of a Form 2 Statement of Candidacy for the 2024 election
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Please note that any informal declarations by Donald Trump and/or his representatives regarding Trump's intentions to run will have no bearing on this market; only the above criteria will be used to resolve this market.
- This market will resolve based on the official FEC website https://www.fec.gov/ though a consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-6.0pt54%
- Ralph Norman+7.0pt37.8%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 15,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,1 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+8.6pt79%
- October 31+20.0pt67%
- September 30+19.0pt48%
+17 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.8%
- Jon Ossoff16.8%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt13.9%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 166 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+4.0pt86%
- Yes-4.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 9,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 874,5 k €
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?
- Darline Graham, 0-3%+6.0pt18.4%
- Darline Graham, 3-6%+2.0pt15.6%
- Ralph Norman, 0-3%+3.0pt13.8%
+15 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva62.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.1pt34.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt3%
+15 résultats de plus
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout
- Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?
- Ohio Governor winner?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? ?
- Polymarket cote Yes à 100% au 25 avril 2026.
- Quand Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2022.
- Comment Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if before the resolution time of this market of January 1, 2023, 12 AM ET, Donald John Trump or his authorized representative does at least one of the following: - Files a Statement of Candidacy for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) - Amends an existing Statement of Candidacy for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election with the FEC - Designates a principal campaign committee for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election - Otherwise files or communicates with the FEC with the same effect as the filing of a Form 2 Statement of Candidacy for the 2024 election