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Données au 8 sept. 2026, 20:35 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
JD Vance 28%En tête parmi 12 options
Qualité du marché
26 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
607,9 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
36.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
8 sept. 26, 15:03 UTC30 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve according to the individual who leads the next White House press briefing following the creation of this market.
- Resolution is based on who actually delivers the briefing from the podium, not on who is listed or announced in advance.
- If the individual scheduled or announced to give a briefing does not ultimately lead it, this market will resolve to the individual who does.
- An individual who appears at a qualifying briefing only as a guest, or who speaks only after being introduced by the individual leading the briefing, will not qualify.
- For the purposes of this market, a White House press briefing is an event listed on the public White House schedule as a press briefing.
- Any such briefing will qualify, even if the individual leading it has not been formally announced as the Press Secretary or as an acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" briefings and special briefings including additional guests will qualify, so long as the individual leads the briefing.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will give the next White House press briefing? ?
- Polymarket cote JD Vance à 28% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will give the next White House press briefing? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will give the next White House press briefing? doit être résolu le 30 septembre 2026.
- Comment Who will give the next White House press briefing? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve according to the individual who leads the next White House press briefing following the creation of this market.