Which countries will Trump accuse of election interference by July 16?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlectionRussia / UkraineChina2j
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Iran 56%En tête parmi 9 options
Qualite du marche
73 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
12,5 k €
Liquidité
100 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
9.0% / 10.0%
Spread
11.1%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
14 juil. 26, 2:3516 juil. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Iran56%
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly alleges that interference by the listed country has occurred in any US election held after the 2016 US presidential election between market creation and July 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Qualifying interference includes, but is not limited to: manipulation of vote tallies or voting machines; hacking of election infrastructure; casting of fraudulent ballots; coordinated disinformation or influence campaigns intended to alter the election's outcome; or illegal foreign funding of campaigns.
- Allegations limited to procedural irregularities, administrative errors, ordinary lobbying, legal foreign media coverage, or fraud of domestic or unspecified origin will not qualify.
- The alleged interference must be attributed to the government of the listed country, a state-affiliated entity, organization, or nationals of the listed country acting in that capacity.
- The actor must be identified at least at the national level (e.g., "China," "Russian operatives," "Iranian hackers").