Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31?
1.1% (24h)GéopolitiqueOne-OffMiddle East5j
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleUnited States 12%-3.5%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualite du marche
73 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
8,5 k €
Liquidité
126,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
0.4% / 0.8%
Spread
100.0%
Spread largeVariation 7j
-1.8%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 minutes
1 juil. 26, 22:3531 juil. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
United States12%
Tendance du volume
$9.6k2 juil.25j de données26 juil.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz.
- Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
- For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman.
- Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.