Probabilité implicite actuelle
Anthropic 90%En tête parmi 32 options
Qualite du marche
64 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
2,9 k €
Liquidité
156,3 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
7.3% / 9.1%
Spread
24.7%
Spread largeVariation 7j
+2.1%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
17 juil. 26, 3:1431 août 26, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Anthropic90%
Tendance du volume
$3.4k17 juil.10j de données26 juil.
Marchés Associés
Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?
9,4 k €Anthropic: 70%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
9,1 k €SpaceX: 86%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will Starship flight 14 happen?
7,6 k €Before 2026-08-01: 1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich company has the best AI Agent end of September?
7,1 k €Anthropic: 75%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
6,2 k €By Dec 31, 2025: 74%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
5,6 k €Before May 1, 2027: 42%
KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
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This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
- Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
- If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”).
- This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.