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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?
US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?

US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?

9.0% (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffIAUS Politics16j
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
June 30
June 30 42%+9.0%
Qualite du marche

36 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

365,9 €

Liquidité

1,1 k €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

33.0% / 50.0%

Spread

51.5%

Spread large
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes

14 juin 26, 0:361 juil. 26, 3:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

June 3042%

Règles

On June 12, 2026, the US government directed Anthropic to suspend access to Fable 5 for foreign nationals, whether inside or outside the United States (see: https://www.anthropic.com/news/fable-mythos-access).

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or Anthropic publicly and officially announce that this directive has been rescinded, waived, modified, or otherwise lifted such that blocking public access to Claude Fable 5 for all non-US nationals is no longer directed by the US federal government by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • A qualifying announcement must clearly indicate that guidance from the United States federal government no longer directs Anthropic to block public access to Claude Fable 5 for all foreign nationals.
  • A partial lifting of the restriction will qualify, provided it allows renewed public access for at least some non-US nationals.
  • Anthropic announcements that Fable 5 will be released for public access, without announcing qualifying US government guidance, will not count.

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Actifs dans ces sujets

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Règles

On June 12, 2026, the US government directed Anthropic to suspend access to Fable 5 for foreign nationals, whether inside or outside the United States (see: https://www.anthropic.com/news/fable-mythos-access).

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or Anthropic publicly and officially announce that this directive has been rescinded, waived, modified, or otherwise lifted such that blocking public access to Claude Fable 5 for all non-US nationals is no longer directed by the US federal government by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • A qualifying announcement must clearly indicate that guidance from the United States federal government no longer directs Anthropic to block public access to Claude Fable 5 for all foreign nationals.
  • A partial lifting of the restriction will qualify, provided it allows renewed public access for at least some non-US nationals.
  • Anthropic announcements that Fable 5 will be released for public access, without announcing qualifying US government guidance, will not count.