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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Middle East
  3. US and Iran sign an agreement by...?
US and Iran sign an agreement by...?

US and Iran sign an agreement by...?

0.1% (24h)Middle EastOne-Off
PolymarketPolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais

Ce marché est fermé et en attente d'une résolution confirmée.

Probabilité implicite actuelle
June 22
June 22 100%+46.0%
En tête parmi 4 options
Qualite du marche

72 / 100

Qualité moyenne
Volume 24h

4,3 M €

Liquidité

0 €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

99.9% / 100.0%

Spread

0.1%

Spread serré
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 15 heures

Obsolète
11 juin 26, 22:2731 juil. 26, 23:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité
June 22
June 22
+46.0%
100%
July 31
July 31
+12.4%
100%
June 30
June 30
+23.4%
100%
June 15
June 15
+0.1%
100%

Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.

Règles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
  • Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
  • Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Marchés Associés

US-Iran deal text released by...?

US-Iran deal text released by...?

1,9 M €
June 19: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

1,7 M €
Oui: 55%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

1,4 M €
Oui: 9%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

2026 FIFA World Cup ⚽ | 🏆 Winner

22,6 k €
Brazil: 7.3%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? [Polymarket]

12,6 k €
Oui: 7.5%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?

4,6 k €
Oui: 1.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,636.77-2.12%EthereumETH$1,691.61-3.05%SolanaSOL$68.31-3.76%DogecoinDOGE$0.0824-2.57%XRPXRP$1.13-3.23%BNBBNB$573.45-2.67%

Actualités Associées

Iran threatens Hormuz shutdown as Israel strikes put U.S. deal at riskCrypto NewsIran touts US deal as victory as Polymarket June 30 text-release odds dipBlockchain.NewsIran signs MoU to end war as Polymarket puts Trump oil relief at 92%Blockchain.NewsNo Meeting by June 30 remains dominant despite talks on the edgeBlockchain.NewsStrait of Hormuz tension spurs Polymarket bets before June 30Blockchain.NewsTrump says Iran peace deal to be signed Sunday, contradicting TehranCointelegraph

Règles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
  • Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
  • Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.