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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Middle East
  3. US-Iran deal text released by...?
US-Iran deal text released by...?

US-Iran deal text released by...?

0.5% (24h)Middle EastOne-Off11j
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
June 19
June 19 100%+10.4%
En tête parmi 4 options
Qualite du marche

77 / 100

Haute qualité
Volume 24h

1,8 M €

Liquidité

3,2 M €

Liquidité élevée
Achat / Vente

- / 0.1%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes

15 juin 26, 23:081 juil. 26, 3:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité
June 19
June 19
100%
June 17
June 17
100%
June 30
June 30
100%
June 16
June 16
0%

Résultat choisi

June 19100%

Règles

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
  • The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article).
  • Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify.

Marchés Associés

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

1,7 M €
Oui: 55%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

1,1 M €
Oui: 9%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

830,2 k €
No Meeting by June 30: 45%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

2026 FIFA World Cup ⚽ | 🏆 Winner

28,7 k €
Brazil: 7.6%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? [Polymarket]

12,3 k €
Oui: 9.5%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?

4,6 k €
Oui: 1.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

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Actualités Associées

Iran threatens Hormuz shutdown as Israel strikes put U.S. deal at riskCrypto NewsIran touts US deal as victory as Polymarket June 30 text-release odds dipBlockchain.NewsIran signs MoU to end war as Polymarket puts Trump oil relief at 92%Blockchain.NewsNo Meeting by June 30 remains dominant despite talks on the edgeBlockchain.NewsStrait of Hormuz tension spurs Polymarket bets before June 30Blockchain.NewsTrump says Iran peace deal to be signed Sunday, contradicting TehranCointelegraph

Règles

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
  • The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article).
  • Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify.