PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
June 30, 2027 21%+1.0pt
Qualité du marché
53 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
4,3 €
Liquidité
15,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
19.0% / 22.0%
Écart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-2.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
14 juil. 26, 14:17 UTC1 juil. 27, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?
PolymarketGreece x Turkey military engagement by which date?
PolymarketWill Turkey acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
Manifold MarketsIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Turkey bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur: - Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner; - Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or - the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
- Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
- Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
