Probabilité implicite actuelle
Company A 50%En tête parmi 32 options
Qualite du marche
68 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
733,1 €
Liquidité
16,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
25.0% / 26.0%
Spread
4.0%
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 minutes
21 juil. 26, 0:5331 août 26, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Company A50%
Tendance du volume
$83421 juil.6j de données26 juil.
Marchés Associés
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10,1 k €Anthropic: 70%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
9,2 k €SpaceX: 86%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI Agent end of September?
7 k €Anthropic: 75%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
6,2 k €By Dec 31, 2025: 74%
MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
5,6 k €Before May 1, 2027: 43%
KALSHI
KALSHIWhen will Starship flight 14 happen?
2,6 k €Before 2026-08-01: 1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
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This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
- AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time.
- If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
- If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”).