PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 98%-0.1pt
Qualité du marché
62 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
3,5 €
Liquidité
3,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
1.9% / 2.7%
Écart
0.8 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
1
Variation 7j
-0.2 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
7 juil. 26, 23:40 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Obama divorce before 2027?
PolymarketWang Shi and Tian Pujun to announce divorce before 2027?
LimitlessWill Harry and Meghan divorce by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Taylor Swift divorce Travis Kelce within 5 years?
Manifold MarketsWho will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?
PolymarketWill Ye and Travis Scott release a joint album this year?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift or Travis Kelce announce their intention to divorce, announce a completed divorce, or file for divorce, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An announcement of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
- Announcements of separations will not alone qualify.
- If Taylor Swift or Travis Kelce officially file for divorce without such an announcement, a consensus of credible reporting that the filing has occurred will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
- The resolution source will be statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marchés ouverts
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 319,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 98 k €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 80 k €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 130,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3 k €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4 M €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Taylor & Travis divorce in 2026? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 98% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Taylor & Travis divorce in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Taylor & Travis divorce in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Taylor & Travis divorce in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift or Travis Kelce announce their intention to divorce, announce a completed divorce, or file for divorce, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.