PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Colorado 99%+4.8ptEn tête parmi 40 options
Qualité du marché
46 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
83,2 €
Liquidité
1,8 k €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
3.9 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
3 sept. 26, 13:00 UTC10 sept. 26, 13:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 8, 2026?
PolymarketNew York J: To Break Playoff Drought
KalshiAt the end of August 2028, will California be in a widespread drought?
Manifold MarketsWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 10% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 15% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 20% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed state that has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 8, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
- States appear only during the months in which they plausibly reach D4, so this event's roster changes through the year. 40 of the 48 coterminous states are in season for September: Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, the named outcome, the named outcome, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia, Washington, the named outcome, Wisconsin, Wyoming.
- A state absent from this event is not making any claim about that state's drought — it simply has no market this week.
- Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 8, 2026 ?
- Polymarket cote Colorado à 99% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 8, 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 8, 2026 doit être résolu le 10 septembre 2026.
- Comment Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 8, 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed state that has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 8, 2026.