Probabilité implicite actuelle
MLSTP 94.8%En tête parmi 7 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
64,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-4.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
20 août 26, 09:45 UTC27 sept. 26, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Règles
Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe are scheduled to take place on September 27, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
- Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
- If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher.
- If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election Winner ?
- Polymarket cote MLSTP à 95% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election Winner sera-t-il résolu ?
- São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election Winner doit être résolu le 27 septembre 2026.
- Comment São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election Winner est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe are scheduled to take place on September 27, 2026.