PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Republican Party 57%+14.5pt
Qualité du marché
31 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
205,4 €
Liquidité
740,8 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
13.0% / 37.0%
Écart
24.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
10 sept. 26, 18:03 UTC4 nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which party will win the Arizona State Senate in 2026?
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Manifold Markets2026 US Senate Election: will the party of the winner of this state's senate seat go on to win senate control?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2026 election for California's 32nd State Senate district
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the Pennsylvania State Senate in the 2026 Pennsylvania midterm election.
- A party wins control of the Pennsylvania Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats.
- If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the party that wins control of the chamber is the party that wins half of the voting seats and holds the Lieutenant Governor's Office as a result of the election.
- If the outcome remains ambiguous after applying the above criteria, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first selected President Pro Tempore of the State Senate that convenes after the specified election is affiliated.
- If no such President Pro Tempore is chosen by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
2 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence pondérée par la liquidité de CoinRithm pour Republican Party est de 54%. Les cotations s'écartent d'environ 5 points de pourcentage entre les plateformes extrêmes.
Référence CoinRithm Republican Party 54% · 2 plateformes · 5 pt d’ecart entre venues
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Pennsylvania State Senate winner? · Republican party 54%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Pennsylvania State Senate Winner 2026? ?
- Polymarket cote Republican Party à 57% au 12 septembre 2026.
- Quand Pennsylvania State Senate Winner 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Pennsylvania State Senate Winner 2026? doit être résolu le 4 novembre 2026.
- Comment Pennsylvania State Senate Winner 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the Pennsylvania State Senate in the 2026 Pennsylvania midterm election.
- Où Pennsylvania State Senate Winner 2026? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi.