KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesAucune cotation en direct
Données au 12 sept. 2026, 15:56 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Democratic party 75%
Qualité du marché
33 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
539,6 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
25.0% / 32.0%
Écart
7.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
16 avr. 26, 14:00 UTC3 nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If the the named outcome wins the New Hampshire State Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The New York Times
- Winning is defined as holding more seats than any other party two weeks after the State Senate is sat for the session following the election.
- If both parties are tied, then the market resolves to No. This market is also eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt36.5%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt29.2%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%
+38 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 114,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+0.4pt51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt18%
- Tucker Carlson4%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro-4.7pt49.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+5.0pt48.5%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt2%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.4pt14%
+48 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.7%
- Gavin Newsom14.6%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 185,9 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson-8.0pt71.6%
- Ulf Kristersson+9.0pt27.4%
- Ebba Busch+0.4pt1%
+7 résultats de plus
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- What will Trump say during his bilateral with the Taoiseach of Ireland?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- Brazil Presidential election winner?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour New Hampshire State Senate winner? ?
- Kalshi cote Democratic party à 75% au 12 septembre 2026.
- Quand New Hampshire State Senate winner? sera-t-il résolu ?
- New Hampshire State Senate winner? doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2027.
- Comment New Hampshire State Senate winner? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the the named outcome wins the New Hampshire State Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.