KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Democratic party 65.4%Ajusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
41 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
1,4 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
63.0% / 69.0%
Écart
6.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
15 avr. 26, 14:00 UTC3 nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If the the named outcome wins the Arizona State Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The New York Times
- Winning is defined as holding more seats than any other party two weeks after the State Senate is sat for the session following the election.
- If both parties are tied, then the market resolves to No. This market is also eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Arizona State Senate winner? ?
- Kalshi cote Democratic party à 65% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Arizona State Senate winner? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Arizona State Senate winner? doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2027.
- Comment Arizona State Senate winner? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the the named outcome wins the Arizona State Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.