Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 1 sept. 2026, 21:00 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 89%+35.5pt
Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
4,9 k €
Liquidité
22 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
58.0% / 78.0%
Écart
20.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+49.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète24 juil. 26, 23:191 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
