PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleDecember 31 99%+0.3%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualite du marche
100 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
47,8 k €
Liquidité
58 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
78.0% / 79.0%
Spread
1.3%
Spread serréVariation 7j
-13.5%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 minutes
1 juil. 26, 22:4931 déc. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
December 3199%
Grosses transactions
$1.0k19.6%POLYMARKETWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026? — Nowhatamidoingg-10 h
POLYMARKETWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026? — Nowhatamidoingg-10 hTendance du volume
$54.6k2 juil.20j de données22 juil.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus.
- Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants.
- Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.