PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Alibaba 71%-7.3%En tête parmi 25 options
Qualite du marche
100 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
48,8 k €
Liquidité
94,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
24.3% / 24.4%
Spread
0.4%
Spread serréVariation 7j
+11.7%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
4 juin 26, 19:2831 juil. 26, 0:00
Tendances
0%
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Alibaba71%
Grosses transactions
$1.2k98.4%POLYMARKETWill DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? — NoBigggggggg-3 j
POLYMARKETWill DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? — NoBigggggggg-3 j$1.7k50.5%POLYMARKETWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? — Yesrewardbots-3 j
POLYMARKETWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? — Yesrewardbots-3 j$1.2k99.7%POLYMARKETWill Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? — NoBigggggggg-3 j
POLYMARKETWill Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? — NoBigggggggg-3 j$1.2k99.9%POLYMARKETWill Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? — NoBigggggggg-3 j
POLYMARKETWill Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? — NoBigggggggg-3 jTendance du volume
$55.7k2 juil.21j de données22 juil.
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This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
- If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”).
- This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.