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Données au 1 sept. 2026, 18:30 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Democratic Party 96%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
37,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
3.3% / 4.7%
Écart
1.4 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-0.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète28 janv. 26, 21:423 nov. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marchés ouverts
Politics
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+0.7pt100%
- Seth Moulton-0.6pt0%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 3,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.4%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.3%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 180,4 M €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56%
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.3pt39%
- Renan Santos+0.7pt3%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt61%
- October 31+1.5pt39%
- September 30-1.0pt20%
+17 résultats de plus
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Next French Presidential Election
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour NC-04 House Election Winner ?
- Polymarket cote Democratic Party à 96% au 1 septembre 2026.
- Quand NC-04 House Election Winner sera-t-il résolu ?
- NC-04 House Election Winner doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment NC-04 House Election Winner est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.