PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleNon 94%
Qualite du marche
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
6,8 €
Liquidité
283,9 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
4.9% / 7.7%
Spread
2.8 pt
Spread modéréVariation 7j
+1.6 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
12 nov. 25, 21:3231 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes6%
Comparer les plateformes· No
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMeilleur global85% de correspondance · auto | Faible | 93% | +86pt | 0 € | 27,8 k € | il y a 12 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| PolymarketCette pageLa plus active | Faible | 94% | +87pt | 6,8 € | 283,9 € | il y a 12 minutes |
Également disponible sur Kalshi
Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
5mo
93%
7%
49 • Faible qualitéSpread modéréLiquidité élevéeProche de la résolution
Volume total68,5 k €
Volume 24h0 €
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
- This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$815 juil.11j de données28 juil.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
- This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.