PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleOui 7%-0.0%
Qualite du marche
52 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,8 k €
Liquidité
13,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
6.0% / 7.0%
Spread
16.7%
Spread largeVariation 7j
-5.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
17 juin 26, 20:0831 juil. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes7%
Tendance du volume
$2.1k2 juil.11j de données12 juil.
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A "megaquake" is defined as an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 or greater.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
- If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the seventh day after the resolution time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
- If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.