Probabilité implicite actuelle
Burnham 9%+ 100%+48.0%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualite du marche
100 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
15,1 k €
Liquidité
35,2 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1%
Spread serréVariation 7j
+37.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
Tendances
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Résultat choisi
Burnham 9%+100%
Également disponible sur Kalshi
Makerfield by-election margin of victory?
17.0%Fermés
-17.0%1%
+88.0%99%
-20.0%2%
+7 résultats de plus
32 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total380,5 €
Volume 24h95,8 €
KALSHIRègles
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in June 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
- If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in June 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
- If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.