Ce marché s'est résolu: Andy Burnham, ≥15% (99%)
Résolu: 19 juin 2026, 03:29
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Andy Burnham, 3-6% 1%-17.0%En tête parmi 10 options
Qualite du marche
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
95,9 €
Liquidité
256,6 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
- / 1.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète26 mai 26, 17:0018 juin 27, 14:00
Tendances
1%
99%
2%
2%
1%
1%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory
48.0%
+48.0%100%
-13.4%0%
-5.5%0%
+5 résultats de plus
100 • Haute qualitéSpread serréLiquidité élevéeProche de la résolution
Volume total54,1 k €
Volume 24h15,1 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If the margin of victory for Andy Burnham in the 2026 Makerfield by-election falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Andy Burnham minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Burnham if Andy Burnham wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Andy Burnham loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Andy Burnham minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Burnham if Andy Burnham wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Andy Burnham loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Andy Burnham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Andy Burnham wins, or the electoral votes received by Andy Burnham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Andy Burnham does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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If the margin of victory for Andy Burnham in the 2026 Makerfield by-election falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Andy Burnham minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Burnham if Andy Burnham wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Andy Burnham loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Andy Burnham minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Burnham if Andy Burnham wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Andy Burnham loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Andy Burnham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Andy Burnham wins, or the electoral votes received by Andy Burnham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Andy Burnham does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.