Probabilité implicite actuelle
April 17, 2027 21%
April 17, 2027 21%Qualité du marché
33 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
205,4 €
Liquidité
1,5 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
12.0% / 22.0%
Écart
10.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
6
Variation 7j
+7.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
9 juil. 26, 13:39 UTC17 avr. 27, 21:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 0,1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
On July 7, 2026, Marine Le Pen announced she is running in the 2027 French presidential election and has named Jordan Bardella as her intended Prime Minister.
- You can read more about that here: https://www.politico.eu/article/france-marine-le-pen-jordan-bardella-2027-campaign/.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marine Le Pen publicly names someone other than Jordan Bardella as the person she would appoint or support as Prime Minister if elected President by the specified date, 11:59 PM Paris time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying endorsement must be a public statement naming a preferred Prime Minister other than Jordan Bardella if Le Pen is elected President.
- Withdrawing support from Bardella alone will not qualify unless Le Pen also names another person for Prime Minister.
