Probabilité implicite actuelle
Łukasz Gibała 78.6%+2.0ptEn tête parmi 17 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
74 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,7 k €
Liquidité
173,8 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+4.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
7 août 26, 00:40 UTC27 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland.
- A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Kraków mayoral election winner? · Łukasz Gibała 65%
