Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
1.1 pts (24h)One-OffPolitiqueMiddle East4mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 1 sept. 2026, 18:30 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 88%-1.1pt
Qualité du marché
26 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
1,6 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
8.3% / 16.6%
Écart
8.3 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+4.8 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète19 mars 26, 18:0531 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 88% au 1 septembre 2026.
- Quand Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).