PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleAugust 31 87%+18.0%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
89 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
155,1 k €
Liquidité
68 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
75.0% / 78.0%
Spread
4.0%
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
25 juin 26, 23:2231 juil. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
August 3187%
Marchés Associés
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
266,5 k €Oui: 0%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?
141 k €June 30: 2%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
125,6 k €July 31: 68%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?
414,3 €Oui: 7.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWith the new peace talks with Iran, will interest rate rates lower in the next eight weeks?
188,7 €Oui: 4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will the 2023 Israel Hamas war end? (Longer)
87,8 €Jan - Jun 2024: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Hormuz vessel attack lifts oil as Polymarket puts July 15 normalcy at 29.5%Blockchain.News
Hormuz strike jolts Iran-entry market as Polymarket cuts Trump odds to 15%Blockchain.NewsHormuz ship hit lifts risk as Polymarket normal-traffic odds jump to 55%Blockchain.News
Inspection dispute cools US-Iran deal odds to 22.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.News
Ras Laffan blast spotlights Gulf shipping as Polymarket puts 20+ Hormuz at 99%Blockchain.News
Iran closes Hormuz again as talks restart, Polymarket Yes dips to 39.5%Blockchain.NewsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST (UTC +3:30).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
- Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market.
- Attacks by proxy forces (i.e.
- Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.