Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?
0.5 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsGéopolitiqueMiddle EastChina3mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 92%+0.5pt
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
8,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
6.0% / 10.0%
Écart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
2 sept. 26, 16:39 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers before Xi Jinping visits the United States.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If neither a qualifying announcement nor a Xi Jinping visit to the United States occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees).
- An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 92% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.