PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Very Strong Typhoon
Résolu: 1 sept. 2026, 11:21
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 1 sept. 2026, 11:20 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Very Strong Typhoon 100%+0.4ptEn tête parmi 5 options
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
211,1 €
Liquidité
86,3 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
0.1 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+1.9 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 jours
Obsolète20 août 26, 15:12 UTC1 sept. 26, 03:59 UTC
Chronologie des Probabilités
Very Strong Typhoon100%
Severe Tropical Storm0%
Violent Typhoon0%
Typhoon0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Règles
This market resolves based on the maximum intensity that the named outcome Saudel (JMA designation T2618) reaches at any point on or before 11:59 PM ET on August 31, 2026, using the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) advisories (https://www.jma.go.jp/bosai/map.html#contents=typhoon&lang=en).
- Resolution is by wind speed: take the highest 10-minute maximum sustained wind speed JMA reports for Saudel in any single advisory during its lifetime, and the market for the one category whose range contains that value resolves "Yes." The categories are defined solely by these inclusive knot ranges: the named outcome (34-47 kt), the named outcome (48-63 kt), Typhoon (64-84 kt), the named outcome (85-104 kt), and the named outcome (105 kt or higher).
- These names label the wind-speed ranges; JMA's own strength wording need not appear in an advisory for a category to resolve.
- The peak must occur on or before the deadline, though the confirming JMA data may be published later.
- Saudel is already a the named outcome, so its peak is at least "the named outcome".
- The wind speed in JMA's issued advisories is final and is not changed by any later reclassification or post-season best-track reanalysis.
