KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 62%+6.0pt
Oui 62%+6.0ptQualité du marché
65 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
5,9 k €
Intérêt ouvert
4,1 k €
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
57.0% / 61.0%
Écart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
7 oct. 26, 15:30 UTC31 déc. 26, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Hurricane Isaias category?
KalshiWhere will Isaias make landfall as a hurricane?
PolymarketHow strong will Isaias be?
PolymarketWill we (temporarily) cross the 3 degrees celcius of global warming by 2026?
Manifold MarketsHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 8, 2026?
KalshiWhere will it rain on Oct 8, 2026?
KalshiRègles
La règle exacte de ce résultat n'est pas disponible.
Règlement via:AccuWeatherNBCAssociated PressNational Oceanic and Atmospheric AdministrationThe Wall Street Journalthe National Hurricane CenterThe Washington PostNational Weather ServiceCNN WeatherThe New York TimesBloomberg NewsThe Weather ChannelReuters
- A track segment is the straight line connecting the storm positions in two consecutive official National Hurricane Center public or forecast advisories. A segment qualifies if any part of that line passes through the defined region, or either coordinate point lies within it. The region is the Alabama feature (STATEFP 01, STUSPS AL) in the US Census Bureau 2025 cartographic boundary state shapefile at 1:500,000 scale: https://www2.census.gov/geo/tiger/GENZ2025/shp/cb2025usstate500k.zip . This is a track-intersection test; a coastal landfall in Alabama is not required. The named storm is Isaias in the 2026 season; the cutoff is the stated calendar date, not the end of the usual hurricane season. Unofficial coordinates and post-storm analyses do not establish a qualifying track segment, and revisions after expiration are disregarded. Trading closes December 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST. The latest expiration is January 7, 2027 at 10:00 AM EST; expiration may move earlier after a qualifying occurrence in accordance with Rule 7.2. Settlement is no later than the day after expiration unless the outcome is under review pursuant to Rule 7.1. The HURPATH outcome-review and indeterminacy provisions remain applicable.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Yes
- La règle exacte de ce résultat n'est pas disponible.
- No
- La règle exacte de ce résultat n'est pas disponible.