PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Seán Kyne
Données de résolution non vérifiées
Ce résultat est inféré ou n'est pas appuyé par des preuves de règlement de niveau fournisseur.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Seán Kyne 100%+31.4ptEn tête parmi 27 options
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
120,9 k €
Liquidité
2,5 M €
Liquidité élevéeVariation 7j
-0.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 100 jours
Obsolète26 févr. 26, 0:3631 mars 27, 0:00
Chronologie des Probabilités
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich11%
Seán Kyne100%
Noel Thomas0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Règles
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
- If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
