Probabilité implicite actuelle
Olivier Faure 32%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualité du marché
57 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
162,4 €
Liquidité
7,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
9 sept. 26, 22:27 UTC10 oct. 26, 18:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections.
- The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
- If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
- Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher.
- If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+1.8pt37.4%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt30.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon+1.0pt13.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 111,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1 M €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- 25,2 M €
- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt51.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt46.5%
- Renan Santos+0.8pt2%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 184,2 M €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson-1.0pt67%
- Susan Collins33%
- Volume total
- 4,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 523,1 k €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate-1.0pt46.1%
- D-House, R-Senate36.3%
- R-House, R-Senate15.7%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 10,6 M €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place ?
- Polymarket cote Olivier Faure à 32% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place sera-t-il résolu ?
- French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place doit être résolu le 10 octobre 2026.
- Comment French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections.