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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

1.0% (24h)One-OffPolitiqueÉlectionLatin America1a
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Flávio Bolsonaro
Flávio Bolsonaro 67%+1.0%
En tête parmi 13 options
Qualite du marche

44 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

0,9 €

Liquidité

35,6 €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

67.0% / 71.0%

Spread

6.0%

Spread modéré
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 1 minute

23 avr. 26, 4:004 oct. 27, 14:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité
Aldo Rebelo
Aldo Rebelo
0%
Ciro Gomes
Ciro Gomes
0%

Résultat choisi

Flávio Bolsonaro67%

PolymarketÉgalement disponible sur Polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

3mo
Flávio Bolsonaro
Flávio Bolsonaro
+4.0%65%
Renan Santos
Renan Santos
+0.2%17%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
9%

+29 résultats de plus

73 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total3,2 M €
Volume 24h5,2 k €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Règles

If Aldo Rebelo finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
  • In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
  • Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
  • Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
  • If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.

Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.

Marchés Associés

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Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner

1,9 k €
Jorginho Mello: 79%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Pará Governor Election Winner

Pará Governor Election Winner

1,5 k €
Hana Ghassan: 52%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

0,9 €
Delcy Rodríguez: 90%KalshiKALSHI
Who will run for President of Brazil?

Who will run for President of Brazil?

0,3 €
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva: 77%KalshiKALSHI
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

0 €
Lula da Silva, 5-10%: 15%KalshiKALSHI

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,909.82+2.43%EthereumETH$1,659.82+1.79%SolanaSOL$65.29+1.68%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.53%XRPXRP$1.12+0.43%BNBBNB$596.84+1.85%

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Règles

If Aldo Rebelo finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
  • In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
  • Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
  • Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
  • If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.