PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
“Widow’s Bay” 82.3%En tête parmi 8 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
71 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
9 k €
Liquidité
21,6 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+18.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
10 juil. 26, 14:19 UTC14 sept. 26, 20:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series
PolymarketEmmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series
PolymarketEmmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series
PolymarketEmmys 2026: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series
FutuurEmmys 2026: Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series
FutuurEmmy for outstanding comedy series?
Manifold MarketsRègles
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026.
- The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
- This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
- If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
2 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence pondérée par la liquidité de CoinRithm pour “Widow’s Bay” est de 79%. Les cotations s'écartent d'environ 20 points de pourcentage entre les plateformes extrêmes.
Référence CoinRithm “Widow’s Bay” 79% · 2 plateformes · 20 pt d’ecart entre venues
- Également disponible sur Futuur — Emmys 2026: Outstanding Comedy Series · Widow's Bay 59%
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 606,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 721 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 411,2 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series ?
- Polymarket cote “Widow’s Bay” à 82% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series sera-t-il résolu ?
- Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series doit être résolu le 14 septembre 2026.
- Comment Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026.
- Où Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Futuur.