PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: No change (100%)
En attente d'une résolution vérifiée
CoinRithm attend un règlement confirmé par le fournisseur avant de traiter ce marché comme résolu.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 23 juil. 2026, 14:20 UTC · politique pm-quality-2
Probabilité implicite actuelleNo change 100%+0.5ptEn tête parmi 5 options
Qualite du marche
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
62,3 k €
Liquidité
0 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread serréVariation 7j
+1.3 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 jours
Obsolète30 avr. 26, 18:2823 juil. 26, 0:00
Chronologie des Probabilités
25 bps Increase0%
No change99%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Comparer les plateformes· No change
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h
Également disponible sur Kalshi
European Central Bank rate decision in July
Fermés
Résolu
Maintain current rate (99%)
93.4%
+1.0pt1.9%
+1.0pt1.9%
+2 résultats de plus
38 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuLiquidité élevée
Volume total54,2 k €
Volume 24h10,8 k €
KALSHI
Également disponible sur Futuur
European Central Bank interest rate decision in July
Fermés
Résolu
Maintain the same rate (97%)
93.3%
2.9%
1.9%
+1 résultats de plus
13 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total417,8 €
Volume 24h0,9 €
FUTUURRègles
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its July 2026 meeting, scheduled for July 22-23, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's July 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Grosses transactions
$1.1k98.9%POLYMARKETNoT123-27 j
POLYMARKETNoT123-27 jTendance du volume
$71.0k2 juil.23j de données24 juil.
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PREDICTIT
PREDICTIT
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This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its July 2026 meeting, scheduled for July 22-23, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's July 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).