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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Central Banks
  3. ECB Interest Rates: July 2026
ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

14.0% (24h)One-OffCentral Banks1mo
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
No change
No change 75%-16.0%
En tête parmi 5 options
Qualite du marche

73 / 100

Qualité moyenne
Volume 24h

6,2 k €

Liquidité

47,7 k €

Liquidité élevée
Achat / Vente

18.0% / 24.0%

Spread

33.3%

Spread large
Variation 7j

+1.5%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes

30 avr. 26, 18:3223 juil. 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité
50+ bps increase
50+ bps increase
0%
25 bps decrease
25 bps decrease
0%

Résultat choisi

No change75%

Règles

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

Polymarket
  • The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its July 2026 meeting, scheduled for July 22-23, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html).
  • This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's July 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
  • If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
  • If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
  • Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).

Marchés Associés

Bank of England decision in June?

Bank of England decision in June?

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No change: 96%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

2,5 k €
No Change: 62%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Who will be the next England Test Captain

1,3 k €
Bethell: 18%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?

653,6 €
No Change: 99%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

When will Ben Stokes give up the Test Captaincy

203,6 €
August 2025: 0.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
European Central Bank rate decision in June

European Central Bank rate decision in June

149,1 €
Cut 1-25bps: 1%KalshiKALSHI

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,632.64+2.54%EthereumETH$1,651.33+2.14%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.78%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+2.01%XRPXRP$1.12+0.55%BNBBNB$594.43+1.80%

Actualités Associées

Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsWall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsCan the Bank of Japan’s 1% rate hike spark another crypto selloff?Crypto NewsU.S. inflation, European Central Bank rate decision: Crypto Week AheadCoindeskThe Fed has a new chair. What it means for cryptoCrypto NewsHKMA Warns of Fraudulent Websites Targeting e-HKD InvestorsBlockchain.News

Règles

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

Polymarket
  • The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its July 2026 meeting, scheduled for July 22-23, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html).
  • This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's July 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
  • If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
  • If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
  • Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).