PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: 2.6% (100%)
En attente d'une résolution vérifiée
CoinRithm attend un règlement confirmé par le fournisseur avant de traiter ce marché comme résolu.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 14 juil. 2026, 14:37 UTC · politique pm-quality-2
Probabilité implicite actuelle2.6% 100%+99.9ptEn tête parmi 10 options
Qualite du marche
28 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
20,5 k €
Liquidité
0 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
- / 0.1%
Variation 7j
-47.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 jours
Obsolète10 juin 26, 15:4415 juil. 26, 3:59
Chronologie des Probabilités
2.8%53%
2.9%54%
3.1%1%
≥3.3%0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Comparer les plateformes· 2.6%
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMeilleur global85% de correspondance · vérifié | Faible | 53% | — | 1,3 k € | 36,4 k € | il y a 13 jours | Ouvrir → |
| PolymarketCette pageLa plus active | Faible | 100% | — | 20,5 k € | 0 € | il y a 12 jours |
Également disponible sur Kalshi
CPI core year-over-year in Jun 2026?
2.0 ptsFermés
Résolu
Exactly 2.6% (1%)
-1.0pt46.1%
-1.0pt29.6%
-2.0pt10.4%
+13 résultats de plus
30 • Faible qualitéSpread largeLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total665,8 k €
Volume 24h1,3 k €
KALSHIRègles
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$23.3k2 juil.14j de données15 juil.
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Fed rate hike by which date?
68,2 k €October Meeting: 65%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Fed rate hike in 2026?
67,9 k €Oui: 72%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
14,6 k €Above 3.5%: 7%KALSHI
KALSHI
US Core PCE (June 2026)
3,5 k €0.0: 98%ROTHERA
ROTHERA
July Inflation US - Annual
2,4 k €3.3%: 36%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US gasoline CPI for July
2,3 k €Above 330ㅤ: 71%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Rate path still divides investors: Five things to know in Bitcoin this weekCointelegraph
CPI Data Still Moves Bitcoin and Altcoins as Forex Brokers Spotlight Macro Cross-CurrentsBlockchain Reporter
Polymarket sees 84% odds of zero Fed cuts in 2026 after risk-off swingBlockchain.News
Bitcoin slides below $65K as Iran conflict fuels $100 oil and bond-yield surgeCointelegraph
Peter Schiff warns $100 oil could unleash a July inflation shockCrypto News
Polymarket puts Sept Fed hike at 50.5% on $4M volume amid oil, yieldsBlockchain.NewsRègles
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.